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ellens prediction

ellens prediction

a prediction library for my luas

ellentane Uploaded Aug 18, 2026 Updated Aug 18, 2026 16 downloads 24 subscribers 14.6 KiB 5.0 (1)

!!!!REQUIRED LIBRARY FOR MOST OF MY SCRIPTS!!!!

dm me on discord with any bugs or feature requests or lua requests / commissions.

-- changelog:
-- 1.2.0 renamed from ellen_damage to ellen_prediction: added first-class
-- estimate object (dps, confidence, samples, age, variance), has_est(),
-- and expanded simulation self-test suite.
-- 1.1.0 estimator rewritten: sustained rate is now a short-window differential
-- ((hp[now-W] - hp[now]) / W) instead of a per-sample EMA. Deadlock damage
-- arrives in discrete bullet chunks, which made the EMA decay between hits
-- and chronically under-read incoming DPS. The window differential is
-- chunk-robust, reacts to a nuke instantly, and resists single pokes.
-- 1.0.0 initial release: multi-entity estimator, timeline, verdict, payloads, selftest